Here's another prediction:
The United States could certainly defeat the Iraqi military and destroy Saddam's regime. But it would not be a cakewalk. On the contrary, it undoubtedly would be very expensive -- with serious consequences for the U.S. and global economy -- and could as well be bloody. In fact, Saddam would be likely to conclude he had nothing left to lose, leading him to unleash whatever weapons of mass destruction he possesses.
-Brent Scowcroft (Bush I National Security Advisor): Op Ed "Don't Attack Saddam"
Instapundit doesn't know if he'll do a "wrapup of military predictions that proved wrong, as I did once the Afghan War was settling down"
. I'm sure he'll be very fair, and provide right and wrong predictions from the left and right. Just in case he has some trouble, I've found some predictions for him to include:
I have no doubt that if we go to war next week or the week after that we’re going to get rid of Saddam Hussein and have a regime change and that our military will succeed. My concern is what this is going to do to the cooperation and the bilateral institutions and multilateral institutions that we’ve built up in this world for the last 50 years.
- Howard Dean: Meet The Press - March 9, 2003
Or here's another one:
Of course we'll win on the battlefield, probably with ease. I'm not a military expert, but I can do the numbers: the most recent U.S. military budget was $400 billion, while Iraq spent only $1.4 billion.
- Paul Krugman: New York Times Op Ed "Things to Come" - March 18, 2003
After the war there will be rewards in victory. Bush will have achieved a new imperial foothold in the Middle East, not to mention control of the second largest oil reserves in the world.
He also will have rid Iraq of a dictator and made its neighbors feel more secure. In addition, he will have reaffirmed his own apparent philosophy that might is right.
On the debit side, he may have made the United Nations irrelevant. He may have junked the benevolent image of America and substituted a portrait of an arrogant world power, seeking global domination.
- Helen Thomas: Op Ed "Preventive war sets perilous precedent" - March 20, 2003
Glenn, do us all a favor and spare us the quote from the odd academic or Hollywood movie star. If you want to mock the left, at least mock someone we actually listen to. And please, dig up some quotes from Tom Delay about Kosovo
while you're at it.
How Come It's Always The GOP
How come every time some politician makes a racist remark, it's always a Republican
Rep. Fred Brummer, a white Republican, made the remark to another legislator Tuesday during the House session. He joked that an upcoming legislative basketball game would be unfair because the Democratic team would have all the black legislators. [full article]
How come it's always the GOP that wants to make special sex laws
(even for married couples). Or decide who is allowed to live together
A proposal to repeal the anti-cohabitation law, which says a man and woman may not live together "openly and notoriously'' as if they were married, was defeated 26-21 on Tuesday.
The offense is listed among other sex crimes, including rape and incest. Violations carry a maximum 30 days in jail and a $1,000 fine.
"It stands as a reminder that there is right, and there is wrong,'' said Sen. John Andrist, a Republican. "Just because something can't be enforced, I don't think it necessarily means that we should feel compelled to take a position to take it off the books.''
Republicans love to talk about government staying out of people's business, but that's just talk. Only a Republican would tell you that God has appointed him President
(Hey, St. George, it was Scalia, not God). Only a Republican would round up protesters
and put them behind a fence (and then call it a free speech zone). When will the libertarians and Bush-apologists wake up and look around? The GOP laughs at everything you believe in (and then they throw money at you to make you shut up).
I've been away on vacation for a couple of days. Just catching up:
Thanks to the Volokhers, I got an introduction of Eric Muller from IsThatLegal
(who guest-blogged this weekend)--I'll be checking out more of him.
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Love or hate Andrew Sullivan, when it comes to gay rights, he's a champion:
HEARTS AND SOULS: More good news from Southern Iraq, where the Brits seem to be doing a fantastic job. One question: how did they manage not to collapse as a military force? After all, they allow openly gay soldiers in their units, thus undermining unit cohesion, destroying morale, wrecking troops' privacy and making it impossible to fight. A miracle against all the odds, I suppose.
* * *
I've been forcing myself to read Instapundit (I do not suggest that anyone do this). Some observations on this coming up.