Pittsfield Special Election
Rhonda Serre's site
looks pretty good -- she clearly is hitting the ground running. Her site has this piece
from the Berkshire Eagle with some election analysis.
Peter G. Arlos, a former city councilor, an elected member of the Democratic State Committee and local political gadfly, said the nomination could be won with as few as 1,400 votes, which is fewer than it takes to win one of the seven ward seats on the City Council.
If Arlos' turnout prediction is accurate, the city's labor unions will have a huge influence. Traditionally Democratic, the unions are one of the few machines left that can turn out voters in a primary, and there are 1,100 unionized employees working for Pittsfield and its school district. When retirees and families are taken into account, Arlos estimates they wield about 3,000 votes.
Unions and activists will decide this election and the candidate that can energize both will have a huge leg up. Unfortunately, the hope for a large turnout in the primary (where the election will be decided) will be in vain.